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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-1.76+3.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.76+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.37+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-2.43+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.38-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.87-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.84-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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2.69University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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3.63University of California at San Diego-1.370.2%1st Place
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2.46University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Irvine-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.1%1st Place
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6.16University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Chitouras | 9.0% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Archer | 26.7% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Blair Caccam | 15.7% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 31.9% | 26.0% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ginger Perez | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 15.8% |
| Colin Curtis | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 33.8% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.