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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.76+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.87+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.37-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.76-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-2.43-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.38-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.84-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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2.46University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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6.07University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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3.65University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Irvine-2.430.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Archer | 27.8% | 26.3% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 32.2% | 26.6% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 22.9% | 31.5% |
| Blair Caccam | 14.1% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 8.9% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Ginger Perez | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| Colin Curtis | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 17.4% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.