Race 1A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Grace Howie 4.4% 3.9% 6.8% 5.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 9.3% 8.5% 10.3% 8.9%
Alie Toppa 18.6% 16.0% 14.8% 12.6% 9.3% 9.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 7.0% 7.1% 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.9% 7.3% 7.5% 7.7% 5.1% 4.1%
Delaney Bamford 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 6.4% 7.0% 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.2% 4.8%
Emma AuBuchon 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 9.9% 10.2% 13.0% 18.3%
Daisy Holthus 6.8% 7.9% 5.5% 8.6% 7.8% 9.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 7.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.0% 3.7%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.9% 10.9% 11.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.9% 8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 5.9% 3.7% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2%
Olivia Belda 12.0% 12.4% 8.7% 9.5% 10.9% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 5.6% 7.0% 4.5% 3.3% 3.1% 1.0%
Stephanie Houck 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.0% 8.0% 9.5% 9.3% 7.5% 7.2% 6.6% 5.3% 4.0% 2.2%
Katherine Cox 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 6.6% 7.2% 8.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.9% 7.4% 5.6%
Marley Mais 6.0% 5.4% 5.5% 6.9% 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 6.7% 9.0% 9.1% 7.7% 7.4% 8.6% 6.6%
Hannah Pokorny 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.1% 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 6.6% 9.7% 9.2% 13.0% 25.8%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 4.6% 7.8% 6.8% 7.0% 8.5% 8.6% 11.1% 9.6% 11.5%
Jessica Bennett 4.9% 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.7% 10.2% 9.0% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.