Race 3A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Olivia Belda 10.2% 11.5% 12.4% 11.4% 9.2% 7.2% 8.0% 7.9% 5.7% 3.9% 5.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.3%
Daisy Holthus 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 6.9% 8.1% 9.9% 7.9% 7.0% 5.6% 3.2% 2.9%
Hannah Pokorny 3.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 4.7% 5.0% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.8% 10.3% 14.7% 26.3%
Delaney Bamford 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.6% 8.0% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.8% 7.7% 6.9% 4.6%
Ava Esquier 6.1% 5.9% 8.0% 8.7% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 7.9% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 3.4%
Jessica Bennett 5.3% 4.6% 5.3% 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.5%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 4.5% 5.2% 6.5% 5.2% 5.0% 6.9% 5.5% 6.3% 7.1% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 9.9%
Stephanie Houck 8.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.0% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 8.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.4% 5.7% 5.3% 2.5%
Katherine Cox 7.0% 4.7% 5.2% 7.3% 8.0% 6.9% 8.8% 8.6% 6.8% 8.1% 9.2% 8.3% 6.6% 4.5%
Emma AuBuchon 3.7% 3.2% 2.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 8.7% 6.8% 8.5% 10.4% 14.4% 17.4%
Alie Toppa 17.7% 14.5% 14.0% 11.1% 10.1% 8.8% 7.8% 5.0% 3.3% 3.1% 2.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Marley Mais 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 7.4% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2%
Grace Howie 4.6% 5.7% 4.1% 6.5% 5.6% 6.1% 6.4% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6%
Olivia de Olazarra 9.4% 12.5% 10.4% 8.1% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.1% 4.1% 3.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.