Race 4A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ava Esquier 6.1% 7.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.9% 6.1% 6.1% 5.9% 3.9%
Alie Toppa 19.0% 15.7% 15.0% 11.9% 9.7% 8.4% 7.2% 4.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Hannah Pokorny 3.3% 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 5.6% 4.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.5% 8.6% 10.5% 14.7% 25.2%
Daisy Holthus 6.2% 7.6% 8.3% 7.7% 8.1% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 6.6% 7.8% 7.1% 5.0% 3.2%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 5.5% 6.7% 4.8% 8.5% 7.7% 8.6% 10.9% 11.4% 11.5%
Grace Howie 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 4.1% 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 9.2% 8.1% 10.2% 10.5% 10.0%
Olivia Belda 12.6% 10.7% 11.5% 10.2% 9.8% 7.5% 7.7% 7.9% 7.2% 5.1% 4.2% 2.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Jessica Bennett 5.6% 5.7% 5.2% 6.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 9.0% 9.5% 9.2% 8.5%
Stephanie Houck 8.0% 8.0% 7.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 7.8% 7.7% 7.1% 7.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.1%
Emma AuBuchon 3.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 4.9% 5.8% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.1% 14.2% 17.1%
Marley Mais 5.6% 6.1% 5.4% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 6.0% 9.2% 7.1% 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 6.1%
Delaney Bamford 6.3% 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 8.9% 7.7% 8.3% 7.2% 7.5% 6.4% 5.3%
Katherine Cox 6.2% 8.0% 6.1% 5.9% 7.9% 7.5% 6.2% 9.1% 8.3% 7.8% 9.1% 7.4% 5.3% 5.2%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.1% 10.9% 9.5% 10.4% 7.9% 10.2% 9.2% 6.3% 7.6% 6.2% 5.0% 3.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.