Race 5A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Delaney Bamford 6.6% 6.4% 7.8% 8.4% 7.9% 7.0% 8.8% 7.0% 8.0% 7.9% 7.4% 5.7% 7.3% 3.8%
Alie Toppa 18.8% 18.1% 14.2% 10.7% 10.3% 8.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5%
Katherine Cox 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.3% 6.1% 7.2% 9.4% 8.4% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.0% 3.4%
Grace Howie 3.9% 5.2% 5.5% 5.7% 5.0% 7.3% 6.2% 7.3% 8.2% 9.4% 7.9% 10.6% 10.3% 7.5%
Daisy Holthus 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 7.9% 9.2% 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 9.0% 6.7% 7.3% 4.3% 3.0%
Stephanie Houck 8.5% 7.7% 8.5% 8.6% 9.5% 8.3% 7.7% 8.8% 7.3% 7.0% 6.8% 4.7% 4.1% 2.5%
Jessica Bennett 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 5.3% 8.1% 5.1% 7.0% 7.3% 8.7% 8.8% 8.9% 7.2% 8.4% 6.4%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 5.1% 5.2% 4.5% 6.1% 5.2% 5.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 8.7% 9.8% 9.3% 10.0% 10.6%
Olivia Belda 11.2% 9.8% 9.7% 10.7% 10.2% 9.3% 9.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.7% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Emma AuBuchon 3.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 6.1% 4.6% 6.9% 7.7% 7.3% 9.6% 9.8% 12.7% 16.6%
Morgan Sailer 3.5% 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.3% 9.5% 9.9% 13.1% 18.4%
Olivia de Olazarra 9.6% 9.7% 9.7% 11.5% 9.4% 8.8% 9.1% 8.0% 6.2% 6.3% 4.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5%
Ava Esquier 7.7% 8.1% 7.3% 6.8% 6.9% 9.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.3% 6.5% 8.0% 3.4% 3.2%
Hannah Pokorny 2.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 5.6% 8.2% 11.6% 14.5% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.