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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.13vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+2.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.49vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.89+4.84vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+1.88vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+0.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.97-2.45vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.69-2.59vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-4.79vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.0College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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5.49Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.47Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 19.4% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Julia Johansson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% |
| Grace Howie | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.