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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+3.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+1.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.26+2.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.30vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.93+0.78vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.82-2.11vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.91vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61University of Pennsylvania2.1611.9%1st Place
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3.78Georgetown University2.4018.3%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.6%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University1.265.9%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.8%1st Place
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6.78Cornell University0.933.9%1st Place
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4.89George Washington University1.8211.2%1st Place
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4.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5715.5%1st Place
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5.06Fordham University1.988.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jackson McAliley | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 18.3% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Jack Welburn | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 24.0% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
Boris Bialer | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 35.5% |
Tyler Wood | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
Owen Hennessey | 15.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
Jacob Zils | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.