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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.46vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+2.41vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.89+2.88vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51+2.69vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-3.83vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.69+0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.97-1.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.71vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.84Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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4.17College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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9.51Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Julia Johansson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 19.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 20.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 16.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Grace Howie | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.