Race 9A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alie Toppa 19.3% 17.6% 15.0% 10.1% 10.0% 7.4% 5.3% 4.7% 4.0% 2.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Stephanie Houck 9.5% 10.5% 9.2% 8.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 6.3% 4.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.8%
Emma AuBuchon 4.1% 3.0% 4.7% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.6% 8.6% 11.6% 13.8% 16.2%
Delaney Bamford 4.7% 8.3% 6.4% 8.1% 7.2% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 6.1% 9.7% 7.2% 7.6% 5.4% 4.1%
Olivia Belda 9.9% 9.6% 11.8% 12.3% 8.8% 9.7% 8.8% 7.0% 6.1% 5.6% 5.5% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 5.1% 3.6% 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 5.7% 8.1% 5.7% 7.5% 8.9% 8.7% 10.2% 9.1% 11.5%
Grace Howie 5.5% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 8.8% 6.6% 8.2% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 7.7%
Daisy Holthus 7.9% 9.0% 7.7% 8.4% 9.1% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 7.7% 5.5% 9.2% 5.4% 5.0% 2.9%
Gwynie Dunlevy 5.2% 3.8% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 9.5% 7.6% 8.8% 11.0% 10.4% 7.2%
Hannah Pokorny 3.1% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 10.2% 15.9% 22.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.6% 8.6% 10.0% 11.2% 8.7% 7.9% 9.1% 7.6% 6.8% 6.6% 4.9% 3.2% 3.4% 1.4%
Julia Johansson 4.2% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 8.1% 6.7% 6.3% 7.3% 9.6% 8.8% 8.8% 10.3% 12.5%
Jessica Bennett 5.1% 6.0% 5.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.5% 8.0% 7.3%
Katherine Cox 5.8% 7.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.3% 7.7% 6.5% 8.3% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.