Race 11A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Julia Johansson 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 5.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 8.7% 10.0% 11.8% 10.1%
Alie Toppa 20.1% 16.0% 14.6% 13.3% 10.0% 8.4% 5.3% 4.5% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Stephanie Houck 8.0% 9.6% 10.0% 9.7% 6.8% 7.2% 9.4% 8.0% 6.7% 8.0% 5.5% 5.6% 4.4% 1.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 9.1% 11.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.7% 8.7% 7.9% 7.3% 7.7% 5.6% 5.2% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2%
Hannah Pokorny 2.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 5.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 6.7% 8.9% 9.6% 13.8% 24.6%
Jessica Bennett 5.3% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 6.6% 6.8% 8.4% 8.1% 6.7% 7.9% 9.6% 8.7% 8.6% 8.3%
Emma AuBuchon 3.6% 4.5% 4.7% 5.5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 7.4% 7.9% 9.9% 9.7% 11.1% 14.8%
Olivia Belda 12.0% 12.6% 11.0% 9.4% 9.4% 8.1% 7.5% 6.6% 7.0% 6.0% 4.6% 2.6% 2.3% 0.9%
Daisy Holthus 8.0% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 7.8% 7.8% 9.6% 9.5% 8.8% 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 5.5% 2.4%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 4.6% 3.7% 4.6% 4.7% 6.5% 7.0% 6.8% 5.6% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 10.8% 10.3%
Grace Howie 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.9% 5.5% 7.1% 6.8% 7.9% 7.4% 9.0% 8.8% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5%
Katherine Cox 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 8.3% 8.1% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 10.9% 6.8% 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 5.4%
Gwynie Dunlevy 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.3% 7.4% 8.9% 7.5% 10.5% 8.6% 8.4%
Delaney Bamford 6.8% 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.2% 6.3% 8.8% 8.4% 7.7% 4.9% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.