Race 12A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Delaney Bamford 7.1% 6.4% 8.9% 6.1% 9.0% 6.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 6.2% 5.8% 6.2% 4.7%
Katherine Cox 7.5% 8.3% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.4% 7.9% 6.4% 5.2% 3.6%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 4.8% 4.5% 5.6% 6.5% 5.4% 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 9.1% 9.2% 8.7% 9.8% 10.3% 10.2%
Hannah Pokorny 2.9% 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 4.2% 6.2% 4.3% 4.7% 6.0% 6.4% 8.7% 10.4% 13.5% 23.8%
Olivia Belda 10.3% 10.6% 12.3% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.6% 6.9% 5.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.7% 2.0% 1.2%
Alie Toppa 17.3% 17.2% 12.6% 12.5% 11.3% 6.8% 6.6% 6.0% 4.2% 1.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Howie 4.7% 6.9% 6.3% 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 7.4% 7.8% 6.9% 8.8% 7.4% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0%
Stephanie Houck 9.3% 10.0% 7.8% 9.2% 8.0% 9.1% 9.2% 7.1% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 4.7% 4.1% 2.1%
Jessica Bennett 5.7% 4.3% 4.4% 5.9% 5.8% 7.5% 8.1% 7.9% 8.0% 6.8% 9.8% 10.5% 7.6% 7.7%
Olivia de Olazarra 9.2% 10.1% 10.6% 10.3% 8.4% 10.6% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 6.9% 5.8% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1%
Daisy Holthus 8.6% 6.4% 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 9.9% 6.9% 7.8% 6.2% 5.7% 5.6% 3.2%
Gwynie Dunlevy 4.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 7.8% 8.2% 7.9% 8.9% 10.1%
Julia Johansson 4.2% 5.2% 4.7% 5.7% 3.6% 5.0% 7.3% 7.3% 9.1% 6.7% 8.3% 9.9% 12.2% 10.8%
Emma AuBuchon 3.7% 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% 5.7% 5.6% 8.6% 9.0% 11.5% 13.3% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.