← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alie Toppa 19.3% 17.9% 14.8% 11.8% 8.7% 6.9% 6.7% 4.3% 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Katherine Cox 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 6.9% 9.2% 6.5% 4.0% 3.6%
Delaney Bamford 6.8% 7.3% 8.1% 7.4% 7.3% 6.0% 8.2% 9.2% 6.9% 8.3% 7.3% 7.5% 6.8% 2.9%
Stephanie Houck 7.1% 10.1% 8.8% 9.2% 9.9% 8.5% 7.7% 7.9% 8.5% 7.7% 5.2% 4.3% 2.9% 2.2%
Emma AuBuchon 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6% 6.8% 7.5% 8.1% 11.7% 12.5% 15.6%
Olivia de Olazarra 9.9% 9.8% 11.3% 10.1% 8.2% 9.7% 9.1% 5.7% 7.6% 6.0% 4.7% 4.4% 2.6% 0.9%
Grace Howie 6.0% 5.4% 6.6% 5.9% 5.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.8% 7.7% 8.6% 9.6% 9.2% 6.2%
Hannah Pokorny 3.7% 2.7% 3.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.8% 4.0% 6.3% 4.7% 7.5% 9.8% 9.6% 13.3% 21.5%
Daisy Holthus 8.1% 6.2% 6.9% 8.5% 8.0% 9.0% 10.3% 8.1% 8.5% 7.6% 5.6% 6.2% 5.0% 2.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 6.9% 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 8.1% 9.1% 8.5% 9.1% 11.7% 8.8%
Jessica Bennett 5.5% 4.6% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 8.9% 9.2% 8.4% 6.8%
Morgan Sailer 3.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.1% 7.7% 6.5% 8.3% 9.6% 9.4% 11.2% 17.9%
Julia Johansson 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 6.3% 8.3% 8.5% 7.6% 8.6% 9.2% 10.6% 11.0%
Olivia Belda 11.8% 13.3% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 10.7% 6.9% 7.5% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.