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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+3.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+2.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.08vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+1.01vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51+1.79vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.97-1.38vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.86vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.69-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.89-4.31vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.89-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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7.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.79Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.46Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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5.35Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 19.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Howie | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 21.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 17.9% |
| Julia Johansson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.8% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.