Race 14A

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alie Toppa 19.6% 17.0% 15.9% 10.8% 8.6% 6.7% 6.7% 5.6% 3.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 9.4% 9.5% 8.7% 9.9% 6.9% 7.1% 5.5% 4.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.8%
Olivia Belda 11.0% 13.4% 10.7% 9.8% 10.9% 7.7% 9.0% 6.6% 6.3% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Daisy Holthus 6.3% 8.1% 9.5% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 8.9% 7.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7.3% 5.4% 4.6% 2.3%
Delaney Bamford 5.5% 6.5% 7.4% 8.4% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 7.8% 5.4% 3.5%
Emma AuBuchon 4.2% 3.2% 2.6% 4.9% 4.4% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 8.5% 7.1% 9.5% 9.2% 13.0% 15.8%
Stephanie Houck 10.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 8.6% 7.4% 7.9% 6.8% 7.9% 4.8% 4.3% 2.8% 1.3%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 4.9% 4.8% 6.4% 4.8% 6.3% 6.4% 5.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.5% 11.1%
Jessica Bennett 5.5% 4.9% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 8.4% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 6.4%
Morgan Sailer 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 3.4% 5.5% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.3% 10.8% 14.7% 15.8%
Grace Howie 4.2% 5.1% 4.8% 7.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 8.7% 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 8.4% 9.3% 8.5%
Katherine Cox 6.2% 5.3% 7.0% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 6.4% 7.2% 5.6% 4.8%
Julia Johansson 4.3% 4.9% 4.4% 5.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.4% 10.8% 9.9%
Hannah Pokorny 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 3.3% 6.9% 5.1% 6.1% 4.4% 6.8% 9.1% 12.3% 14.1% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.