Race 1B

navy-spring-womens

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christina Sakellaris 9.2% 9.3% 10.8% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 8.7% 6.8% 7.9% 4.8% 6.3% 4.7% 3.5% 1.8%
Rachel Foster 10.0% 9.6% 7.9% 9.3% 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 7.9% 6.5% 6.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
Lenox Butcher 10.2% 10.0% 9.0% 10.0% 7.8% 9.3% 8.3% 7.8% 6.6% 6.3% 6.0% 4.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Rebecca Read 5.8% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 9.0% 7.2% 8.9% 7.4% 6.4% 7.7% 8.1% 9.0% 4.4% 2.8%
Brittney Slook 9.0% 11.2% 10.5% 11.7% 8.6% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 6.0% 6.8% 5.4% 3.3% 2.0% 1.3%
Marian Frances Williams 12.0% 10.1% 11.8% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.5% 5.7% 4.6% 3.0% 2.6% 0.3%
Sinead McManus 7.7% 8.7% 7.9% 8.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 6.9% 7.5% 4.7% 2.2%
Carly Broussard 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.1% 7.7% 7.3% 8.7% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 5.3%
Katherine Bennett 6.0% 3.9% 5.4% 4.6% 6.5% 5.4% 8.2% 7.6% 7.8% 10.1% 8.5% 11.0% 10.1% 4.9%
Colleen Baumann 3.5% 2.9% 2.3% 3.1% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 4.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 13.2% 15.1% 18.1%
Sebby Turner 7.6% 6.5% 6.1% 6.6% 9.6% 7.4% 7.4% 8.5% 7.9% 7.5% 8.6% 5.3% 7.6% 3.4%
Payton Canavan 3.5% 3.2% 4.6% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.9% 5.6% 7.7% 8.0% 10.9% 10.2% 12.7% 14.9%
Emma Snead 7.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.5% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 9.1% 8.2% 7.1% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 2.6%
Leah Harper 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.1% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 8.4% 17.2% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.