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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.38+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.66vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+3.13vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.33+4.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30+0.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.18vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-0.93vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.96-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-2.93vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.82vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-6.57vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.67-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.07Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.43College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Sakellaris | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sinead McManus | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 24.1% |
| Leah Harper | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.