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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+4.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.62vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+3.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+3.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+0.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.36vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.63+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.87+1.61vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-3.09vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-1.46vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29+0.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.96vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.23-1.00vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-4.37vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.50-3.93vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.90-2.74vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.48-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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13.76Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.0George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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15.26Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Alex Cook | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 21.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 27.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.