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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.58vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.98vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.14-1.23vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-1.11vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.82vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Georgetown University2.2024.6%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy2.0419.4%1st Place
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5.59George Washington University0.938.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania1.169.7%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.3%1st Place
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4.77Cornell University1.1410.7%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.636.4%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University0.978.5%1st Place
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5.92Fordham University0.716.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Piper Holthus | 24.6% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Eva Blauvelt | 19.4% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 19.5% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
Sabrina Starck | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.