Race 4B

navy-spring-womens

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lenox Butcher 10.0% 10.2% 11.3% 8.9% 7.6% 10.1% 7.3% 8.5% 5.9% 6.7% 4.6% 4.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Christina Sakellaris 10.5% 10.1% 9.9% 8.9% 9.0% 7.5% 8.5% 9.0% 8.5% 6.4% 4.3% 3.6% 2.4% 1.4%
Sebby Turner 7.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 8.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.1% 2.6%
Emma Snead 6.0% 8.3% 6.5% 9.8% 6.6% 8.3% 7.8% 9.2% 5.7% 8.7% 8.9% 7.7% 3.8% 2.7%
Katherine Bennett 4.1% 5.4% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.3% 7.9% 10.7% 9.2% 10.7% 5.4%
Brittney Slook 10.5% 10.3% 11.1% 10.4% 9.2% 10.1% 7.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.4% 5.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.7%
Caroline Sandoval 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 6.0% 4.5% 4.4% 6.2% 8.3% 11.8% 18.7% 21.4%
Colleen Baumann 4.0% 3.3% 4.0% 3.6% 5.3% 4.3% 4.8% 4.5% 7.7% 7.3% 8.8% 11.8% 15.2% 15.4%
Sinead McManus 7.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 8.8% 8.0% 7.9% 8.6% 7.6% 4.3% 2.9%
Rachel Foster 8.0% 7.9% 9.5% 8.7% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 7.6% 8.9% 8.0% 6.5% 5.7% 3.1% 1.5%
Carly Broussard 7.3% 4.9% 5.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.4% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 9.4% 8.3% 7.0% 4.7%
Leah Harper 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 2.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.8% 10.4% 18.3% 37.1%
Rebecca Read 7.2% 9.4% 7.1% 6.7% 9.3% 6.6% 9.5% 8.5% 6.6% 8.7% 7.0% 5.3% 5.1% 3.0%
Marian Frances Williams 13.3% 12.6% 9.7% 10.3% 11.2% 9.3% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 4.8% 3.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.