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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.38+5.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+4.58vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+2.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.27vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.64-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15-1.05vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+0.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-3.42vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-3.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.87vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.67-1.71vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Sakellaris | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Sinead McManus | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Leah Harper | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 38.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.