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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+4.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+3.49vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+3.15vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.38+1.34vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96+1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-2.00vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.77vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-3.87vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.33-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.67-1.71vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.34Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Sinead McManus | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% |
| Leah Harper | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 38.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.