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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.44+8.26vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+4.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+3.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.31vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.33+3.85vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.38-0.99vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.77vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.64-5.48vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.67-0.49vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.96-5.40vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.16Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.52College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Canavan | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
| Sinead McManus | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Leah Harper | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 42.3% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.