← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.66vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+4.94vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.64+2.47vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.38+2.31vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.11+2.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.15+1.23vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.96+0.43vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.44+1.30vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.78vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.30-3.37vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.76vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.33-2.29vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.87vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami0.67-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.47College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.31Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.36Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.23University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
7.43Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
9.3Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
6.22University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.63Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.71Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
11.38University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 9.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sinead McManus | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Leah Harper | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.