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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+5.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.57vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+4.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.67+6.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+1.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33+2.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.73vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.65vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.66vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-4.74vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.44-3.68vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.55College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.6Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Leah Harper | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 44.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Sinead McManus | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.