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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+4.85vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+4.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+2.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.37vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.64-0.36vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11-0.07vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.96-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.65vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-5.15vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.67-0.45vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.44-3.68vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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5.64College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.93Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Sinead McManus | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Carly Broussard | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Leah Harper | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 43.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.