Race 11B

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marian Frances Williams 12.1% 12.8% 12.0% 9.1% 9.8% 8.8% 9.3% 5.9% 5.9% 3.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.4% 1.5%
Katherine Bennett 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 5.7% 6.1% 6.4% 6.4% 8.1% 7.5% 8.5% 10.4% 8.7% 8.5% 5.8%
Emma Snead 6.6% 7.6% 7.9% 7.2% 6.6% 7.5% 6.8% 8.1% 7.8% 9.1% 9.2% 6.4% 6.3% 2.9%
Lenox Butcher 8.7% 10.1% 9.1% 9.9% 7.8% 10.2% 8.3% 7.0% 7.5% 5.8% 6.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.3%
Rachel Foster 6.5% 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 8.6% 6.6% 8.8% 8.7% 7.6% 6.8% 6.3% 6.5% 4.7% 1.9%
Sebby Turner 7.9% 5.6% 6.0% 7.6% 7.1% 10.5% 6.8% 7.0% 8.5% 8.8% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 2.8%
Carly Broussard 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 7.7% 7.4% 9.3% 8.7% 6.0% 3.8%
Brittney Slook 11.2% 11.8% 9.2% 10.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 4.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Colleen Baumann 4.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 3.2% 4.4% 6.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.6% 12.3% 16.4% 16.8%
Sinead McManus 7.5% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 9.7% 7.4% 7.8% 6.8% 8.9% 8.6% 6.4% 9.7% 5.0% 2.9%
Leah Harper 1.2% 2.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 3.4% 4.7% 3.3% 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 15.6% 43.7%
Rebecca Read 7.1% 6.3% 6.8% 9.1% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 8.5% 7.0% 6.9% 8.2% 6.6% 5.5% 3.3%
Payton Canavan 4.1% 3.3% 4.9% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 4.3% 6.5% 7.4% 9.2% 9.5% 10.0% 16.1% 11.8%
Hallie Schiffman 10.7% 12.5% 9.8% 9.0% 10.2% 9.2% 7.7% 7.9% 7.4% 6.0% 3.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.