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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.96+6.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.64-0.38vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15-0.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30-2.31vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-2.65vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-5.15vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.33-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.67-1.56vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.44-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.62College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.78Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Broussard | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
| Emma Snead | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sinead McManus | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
| Leah Harper | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 41.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.