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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.96+6.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+3.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+3.18vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.40vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.67+3.28vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.76vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-3.74vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-5.32vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-5.82vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.57Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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9.5Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.18Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Broussard | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Leah Harper | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 42.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sinead McManus | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.