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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+4.59vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.48+6.14vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+3.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+1.35vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-2.01vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.87+0.06vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-6.29vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-5.94vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-1.22vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.23-1.84vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.50-3.93vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.86-6.41vs Predicted
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19Tulane University1.90-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.14University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.78Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.16George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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14.9Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Alex Cook | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Colin Smith | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 19.3% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.