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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.04vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+2.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.18vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40-0.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.16vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.45vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.61-0.71vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5716.4%1st Place
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4.88Fordham University1.9810.6%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.2%1st Place
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3.87Georgetown University2.4016.7%1st Place
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5.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.4%1st Place
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4.77George Washington University1.8212.4%1st Place
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4.55University of Pennsylvania2.1611.9%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University0.612.8%1st Place
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6.26Old Dominion University1.264.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Owen Hennessey | 16.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
Jacob Zils | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
Jack Welburn | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
Tyler Wood | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
Maya Conway | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 48.7% |
Blake Goodwin | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.