Race 14B

navy-spring-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marian Frances Williams 11.5% 13.7% 11.8% 9.2% 9.1% 8.3% 8.6% 7.2% 6.1% 4.1% 4.6% 3.0% 1.7% 1.1%
Lenox Butcher 10.7% 10.6% 9.9% 7.9% 9.7% 8.0% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 6.7% 4.6% 3.0% 2.5% 1.2%
Colleen Baumann 3.9% 3.2% 3.6% 4.3% 3.4% 5.2% 5.0% 4.1% 4.7% 7.9% 9.2% 13.0% 16.1% 16.4%
Hallie Schiffman 9.2% 11.8% 10.7% 9.0% 10.8% 8.5% 8.6% 6.2% 6.8% 6.0% 6.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Rachel Foster 7.0% 8.0% 8.4% 9.8% 8.3% 7.3% 8.5% 7.4% 9.0% 6.5% 8.1% 5.5% 4.1% 2.1%
Sinead McManus 7.0% 5.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 7.4% 8.8% 7.3% 9.4% 6.7% 7.4% 6.4% 3.3%
Emma Snead 8.3% 7.8% 8.1% 6.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.4% 6.8% 8.7% 8.2% 6.7% 6.1% 6.5% 2.0%
Carly Broussard 6.6% 6.4% 7.4% 5.8% 5.6% 8.0% 6.6% 8.0% 8.2% 7.3% 8.3% 9.2% 6.9% 5.7%
Brittney Slook 11.3% 8.4% 9.3% 10.9% 9.9% 10.7% 7.0% 8.8% 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Katherine Bennett 5.3% 3.9% 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.5% 6.6% 7.1% 8.4% 7.7% 8.9% 10.8% 11.8% 5.6%
Payton Canavan 3.3% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.5% 5.5% 8.9% 9.5% 11.9% 13.7% 14.1%
Rebecca Read 7.4% 6.8% 6.5% 9.2% 8.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 5.2% 3.5%
Sebby Turner 6.8% 8.7% 6.2% 8.2% 6.8% 6.6% 9.1% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 6.9% 6.1% 2.3%
Leah Harper 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 5.4% 5.0% 6.6% 8.7% 14.9% 41.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.