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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.44+2.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.44+1.27vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91-1.32vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.67-0.37vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.25-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.29-0.95vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.95-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Jacksonville University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.27Jacksonville University1.440.2%1st Place
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2.96Florida State University1.690.2%1st Place
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2.68University of South Florida1.910.3%1st Place
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4.63Rollins College0.670.1%1st Place
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3.66Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.85Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Central Florida-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 18.0% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 18.0% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 22.5% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 29.6% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Barrett | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 13.1% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 25.5% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 26.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Shane Michos | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 25.3% | 49.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.