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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.14+0.83vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+0.18vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-0.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.15vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71-2.05vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Georgetown University2.2026.6%1st Place
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5.1University of Pennsylvania1.169.5%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.0418.1%1st Place
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4.83Cornell University1.1410.1%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University0.978.9%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.636.9%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.9%1st Place
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5.95Fordham University0.715.9%1st Place
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5.62George Washington University0.937.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Piper Holthus | 26.6% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Adra Ivancich | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
Eva Blauvelt | 18.1% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
Ava Gustafson | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% |
Sabrina Starck | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.1% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% |
Avery Canavan | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.