← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.25+2.59vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.91+0.66vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.44+0.39vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.44-0.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.29+1.08vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.69-3.01vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.67-2.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Central Florida-0.95-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.59Eckerd College1.250.2%1st Place
-
2.66University of South Florida1.910.3%1st Place
-
3.39Jacksonville University1.440.2%1st Place
-
3.39Jacksonville University1.440.2%1st Place
-
6.08University of Miami-0.290.0%1st Place
-
2.99Florida State University1.690.2%1st Place
-
4.57Rollins College0.670.1%1st Place
-
6.92University of Central Florida-0.950.0%1st Place
-
5.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret MacCormack | 15.6% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 28.7% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 17.6% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 17.6% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ricca | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 30.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 22.3% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nate Barrett | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Shane Michos | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 27.1% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.