← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.98+4.02vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.49vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.97vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.40-0.15vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.82-0.25vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.26+0.14vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.83vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.74vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University0.61-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.02Fordham University1.989.8%1st Place
-
4.49University of Pennsylvania2.1612.9%1st Place
-
3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5717.0%1st Place
-
3.85Georgetown University2.4017.5%1st Place
-
4.75George Washington University1.8211.7%1st Place
-
6.14Old Dominion University1.265.6%1st Place
-
4.17U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.7%1st Place
-
5.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.4%1st Place
-
7.35Cornell University0.613.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacob Zils | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 6.5% |
Jackson McAliley | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
Owen Hennessey | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
Tyler Wood | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 19.3% |
Jack Welburn | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 8.7% |
Maya Conway | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.