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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+6.19vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.11+4.30vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.01+1.87vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.12+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.99-3.40vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.46-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.10-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.32+1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.82-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-1.68+0.07vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.10-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-1.02-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.62-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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9.19University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.38Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Victoria0.010.0%1st Place
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7.48Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.6University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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6.22Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Victoria-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.07University of British Columbia-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.4Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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11.34University of British Columbia-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erik Skeel | 26.0% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Fraser Buck | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Eric Lyall | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| John Kauffman | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Emily Clark | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 20.7% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Kaiden Richardson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 33.7% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.