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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.82+8.54vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.11+5.14vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.10+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.99-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.51-0.80vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.12-0.72vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.43-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.01-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.32+1.03vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.10-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.62-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-1.02-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-1.68-1.82vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.40-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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10.54University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Washington-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.4Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.75University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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7.28Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.29Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Victoria0.010.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Victoria-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.49Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.19University of British Columbia-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.18University of British Columbia-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 26.6% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Marijke Jorna | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| John Kauffman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Eric Lyall | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Fraser Buck | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Emily Clark | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| Hayley Rawden | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 14.3% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% |
| Kaiden Richardson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 33.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.