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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.99+2.70vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.01+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.11+4.37vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.10+3.17vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.51+0.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.43-0.51vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.46-1.88vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.12-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.32+2.15vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.82-0.48vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.10-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.62-3.13vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.40-4.94vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-1.02-3.67vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia-1.68-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.7University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Victoria0.010.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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6.49Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.12Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.34Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Victoria-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.48Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.33University of British Columbia-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.21University of British Columbia-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 25.7% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Lyall | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fraser Buck | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| John Kauffman | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Dale Whitmore | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emily Clark | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Hayley Rawden | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 16.3% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| Kaiden Richardson | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.