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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.82+8.50vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.62+6.08vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.11+3.16vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.46+0.32vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.12+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-4.66vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.99-4.31vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.01-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.10-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.32+0.08vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.10-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-1.02-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-1.68-1.81vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.40-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.35Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.32Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.46Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.69University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Victoria0.010.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Victoria-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.42Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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11.16University of British Columbia-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.19University of British Columbia-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Marijke Jorna | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erik Skeel | 26.3% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Lyall | 13.8% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fraser Buck | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| John Kauffman | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Clark | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| Hayley Rawden | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% |
| Kaiden Richardson | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 34.2% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.