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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.11+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.51+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.62+6.07vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43+1.37vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.10+5.52vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.99-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.01-0.32vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.12-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-1.02+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.10-2.84vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.82-1.37vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.46-6.83vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.32-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia-1.68-1.80vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.40-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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8.09University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.37Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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11.52Western Washington University-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.83University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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7.68University of Victoria0.010.1%1st Place
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7.36Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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11.31University of British Columbia-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington-0.100.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.17Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Victoria-1.320.0%1st Place
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13.2University of British Columbia-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 25.5% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Dale Whitmore | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Rawden | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.3% |
| Eric Lyall | 15.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fraser Buck | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Niko Twilla | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 9.3% |
| John Kauffman | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Marijke Jorna | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Clark | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 19.0% |
| Kaiden Richardson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 35.4% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.