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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+1.68vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.13+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia1.01+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.38+4.80vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.25+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.05+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.64+2.68vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.72+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.12+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.17-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.71-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.56-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.38-4.38vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.58-4.77vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.79-4.77vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.90-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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6.79Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.27University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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8.8University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Washington-0.050.1%1st Place
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9.68University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.78Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Victoria-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.83University of British Columbia-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.23Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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10.23Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Victoria-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 33.3% | 25.3% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 15.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mira Anders | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Kayden Polachek | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Camille Ottaway | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Kahle | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% |
| Hayley Woods | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Andy Hsaio | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Oliver Barry | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Emily Tan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| David Goede | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.