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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+3.89vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+2.84vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+1.68vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.14-0.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.88vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Georgetown University2.2026.5%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.636.1%1st Place
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5.84Fordham University0.716.7%1st Place
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5.68George Washington University0.937.0%1st Place
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4.93Cornell University1.149.4%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.0420.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Pennsylvania1.168.8%1st Place
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5.12Old Dominion University0.978.5%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Piper Holthus | 26.5% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Sabrina Starck | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 19.3% |
Avery Canavan | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
Ava Gustafson | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
Eva Blauvelt | 20.3% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Adra Ivancich | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.