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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.35vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+8.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.48+5.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+2.99vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63+2.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36-1.36vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+5.37vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-1.74vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-3.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.89vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-1.45vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-1.56vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.23+0.34vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-6.96vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.74-8.16vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-7.13vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.90-2.73vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.29-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.05University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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7.99Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.37Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.26Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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14.34George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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15.27Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.64Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% |
| Alex Cook | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 30.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.