← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.74+1.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.05+5.36vs Predicted
-
3University of British Columbia1.01+1.29vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.58+5.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-1.12+6.24vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.13+0.99vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.72+2.97vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia-0.71+1.70vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington0.25-2.55vs Predicted
-
10University of British Columbia-0.64-0.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria-0.38-2.38vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria-0.38-3.29vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria-0.17-5.13vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.79-3.98vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria-1.90-1.48vs Predicted
-
16University of Victoria-0.56-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
-
7.36University of Washington-0.050.1%1st Place
-
4.29University of British Columbia1.010.1%1st Place
-
9.54Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
11.24University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.99Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
-
9.97Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.7University of British Columbia-0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.45University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Victoria-0.170.0%1st Place
-
10.02Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
-
13.52University of Victoria-1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.37University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 34.7% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mira Anders | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 14.6% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Kahle | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 6.3% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Camille Ottaway | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Andy Hsaio | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kayden Polachek | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Oliver Barry | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Hayley Woods | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| David Goede | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 46.9% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.