← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.74+1.68vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia1.01+2.30vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.13+3.91vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia-0.64+5.72vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.72+4.93vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.58+3.43vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.17+1.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.25-1.63vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-0.05-1.57vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria-0.38-1.29vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-1.12+0.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria-0.38-3.34vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia-0.71-3.18vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.79-4.03vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria-0.56-5.62vs Predicted
-
16University of Victoria-1.90-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.68University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
-
4.3University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
-
6.91Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
-
9.72University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.93Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.43Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
8.03University of Victoria-0.170.0%1st Place
-
6.37University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
-
7.43University of Washington-0.050.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
11.12University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
9.82University of British Columbia-0.710.0%1st Place
-
9.97Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.54University of Victoria-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 33.3% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kayden Polachek | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Camille Ottaway | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Emily Tan | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Hayley Woods | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mira Anders | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Barry | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Andy Hsaio | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| David Goede | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.