← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of British Columbia1.01+3.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.74+0.73vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.72+6.91vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria-0.38+4.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.17+2.96vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia-0.64+3.61vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.56+2.42vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.58+1.23vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington0.25-2.55vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.79+0.19vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.13-4.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-1.12-0.85vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia-0.71-3.17vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-1.90-0.64vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria-0.38-6.24vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington-0.05-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.19University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
-
2.73University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
-
9.91Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.81University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.96University of Victoria-0.170.0%1st Place
-
9.61University of British Columbia-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.42University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
-
9.23Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
6.45University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
-
10.19Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.93Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
-
9.83University of British Columbia-0.710.0%1st Place
-
13.36University of Victoria-1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.5University of Washington-0.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 34.4% | 22.0% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Ottaway | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Oliver Barry | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Hayley Woods | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Kayden Polachek | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Emily Tan | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Kahle | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| Andy Hsaio | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| David Goede | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 42.7% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Mira Anders | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.