Race 4A

nelson-roltsch-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cameron Giblin 15.0% 15.3% 13.5% 15.9% 12.3% 11.2% 7.5% 6.6% 2.7%
Marcus Huttunen 8.1% 12.3% 14.8% 12.8% 13.5% 12.2% 10.7% 9.4% 6.2%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 10.9% 12.7% 14.3% 12.5% 12.2% 13.3% 10.8% 8.5% 4.8%
Marina Barzaghi 7.0% 8.5% 10.0% 9.6% 11.3% 11.5% 13.5% 13.7% 14.9%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 29.4% 21.7% 14.3% 11.7% 8.8% 6.3% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.5% 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 9.5% 10.9% 15.0% 16.6% 20.6%
William Keenan 5.9% 4.8% 5.7% 7.8% 9.1% 10.8% 13.0% 17.8% 25.1%
Samuel Baker 7.8% 6.2% 8.3% 9.6% 10.2% 12.1% 12.9% 15.7% 17.2%
Charlotte Rose 10.4% 11.8% 11.9% 12.1% 13.1% 11.7% 12.1% 9.5% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.