Race 5A

nelson-roltsch-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cameron Giblin 16.9% 14.3% 13.3% 14.2% 13.2% 11.9% 6.9% 6.8% 2.5%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 9.7% 11.4% 13.6% 13.3% 14.4% 12.3% 9.6% 8.6% 7.1%
Charlotte Rose 10.6% 9.5% 13.4% 10.9% 11.2% 13.1% 13.8% 10.7% 6.8%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 25.0% 24.9% 15.3% 13.8% 8.5% 6.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Marina Barzaghi 7.1% 9.7% 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 9.6% 13.2% 13.9% 15.6%
Kathryn Bornarth 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 12.1% 14.3% 17.9% 20.0%
Marcus Huttunen 11.3% 12.3% 12.3% 13.7% 14.3% 12.4% 9.8% 9.5% 4.4%
Samuel Baker 7.9% 5.9% 8.7% 8.3% 10.6% 12.1% 15.0% 14.0% 17.5%
William Keenan 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 7.6% 8.9% 10.1% 13.5% 17.1% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.