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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+4.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+2.35vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+0.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-2.78vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-2.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.0%1st Place
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4.34U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.1%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University1.799.2%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.4015.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Pennsylvania2.1611.8%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University1.265.6%1st Place
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4.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5716.0%1st Place
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5.23Fordham University1.989.4%1st Place
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5.15George Washington University1.829.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
Jack Welburn | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
Sophia Devling | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 15.2% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 30.5% |
Owen Hennessey | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
Jacob Zils | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% |
Tyler Wood | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.