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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+6.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.70+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.29vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.23+8.00vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+3.87vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.63-2.64vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.27vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-5.32vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.48-4.81vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-1.30vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.83vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-6.79vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-4.90vs Predicted
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19Tulane University1.90-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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14.0George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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13.7Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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13.1Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.94Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Colin Smith | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 19.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Alex Cook | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.