Race 6A

nelson-roltsch-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 13.1% 11.7% 12.8% 13.4% 13.7% 12.7% 10.9% 7.7% 4.0%
Caelan Watts 3.4% 3.9% 4.4% 6.0% 7.4% 9.7% 12.5% 19.2% 33.5%
Kathryn Bornarth 4.8% 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 9.8% 10.5% 14.0% 17.5% 21.5%
Charlotte Rose 9.7% 12.5% 13.1% 12.9% 12.6% 13.3% 9.9% 10.3% 5.7%
Cameron Giblin 17.6% 16.7% 14.5% 12.9% 12.5% 9.2% 7.3% 6.8% 2.5%
Samuel Baker 5.9% 7.5% 9.5% 9.1% 11.9% 13.1% 14.5% 14.6% 13.9%
Marina Barzaghi 6.9% 6.9% 8.0% 10.5% 11.2% 13.9% 14.4% 13.6% 14.6%
Marcus Huttunen 11.5% 14.2% 13.4% 12.3% 12.2% 11.3% 12.7% 8.3% 4.1%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 27.1% 20.3% 16.9% 14.7% 8.7% 6.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.