Race 8A

nelson-roltsch-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cameron Giblin 15.8% 14.8% 15.4% 14.1% 12.7% 10.7% 8.7% 5.1% 2.7%
Charlotte Rose 7.8% 10.6% 12.6% 12.3% 12.9% 12.2% 14.5% 9.7% 7.4%
Caelan Watts 3.9% 3.6% 5.9% 5.9% 7.8% 10.2% 12.0% 17.6% 33.1%
Samuel Baker 6.2% 9.2% 9.2% 8.2% 12.2% 13.1% 13.4% 14.7% 13.8%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 13.2% 15.7% 13.6% 11.2% 11.6% 11.3% 9.5% 8.4% 5.5%
Marcus Huttunen 12.5% 12.5% 12.8% 14.3% 13.6% 13.1% 9.9% 7.4% 3.9%
Kathryn Bornarth 6.2% 5.4% 6.2% 8.3% 8.9% 11.8% 15.2% 17.6% 20.4%
Marina Barzaghi 7.9% 6.9% 8.9% 10.7% 10.3% 11.6% 13.0% 17.9% 12.8%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 26.5% 21.3% 15.4% 15.0% 10.0% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.