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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.11+4.69vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+3.01vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.69+1.58vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+0.52vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43-2.98vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.65-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94-1.92vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Jacksonville University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.01Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.58Tulane University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.41Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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3.02Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
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6.74Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.08University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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3.95Tulane University2.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Baker | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Marcus Huttunen | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 26.6% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Caelan Watts | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 32.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 20.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 15.9% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.