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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+4.35vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.71+4.07vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+0.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+1.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-1.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.89vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Old Dominion University0.978.9%1st Place
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6.07Fordham University0.715.7%1st Place
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3.61Cornell University1.9618.3%1st Place
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5.78George Washington University0.935.9%1st Place
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3.19Georgetown University2.2023.0%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy2.0418.8%1st Place
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.0%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.915.8%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania1.168.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 20.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 23.0% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 18.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 21.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.